Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.399625 0.471082 0.549814 0.642749 0.749186 0.867009 1.007030
2024-10-20 0.282379 0.374336 0.486081 0.630772 0.811943 1.029979 1.310772
2024-10-27 0.210703 0.309587 0.440353 0.623412 0.870092 1.187641 1.623377
2024-11-03 0.168818 0.271442 0.417446 0.635803 0.948555 1.373884 1.988013
2024-11-10 0.137401 0.239877 0.395606 0.642559 1.015580 1.547349 2.349017
2024-11-17 0.113053 0.213122 0.374729 0.645002 1.073124 1.709365 2.705328
2024-11-24 0.095775 0.193853 0.361321 0.655169 1.140772 1.889350 3.100254
2024-12-01 0.080782 0.175165 0.345164 0.657316 1.193990 2.049782 3.476378
2024-12-08 0.065224 0.151898 0.316804 0.633856 1.200967 2.136127 3.741746
2024-12-15 0.058269 0.144112 0.315074 0.656463 1.287131 2.355637 4.234136
2024-12-22 0.051658 0.135584 0.310373 0.672449 1.362358 2.561730 4.718000
2024-12-29 0.048373 0.133715 0.318461 0.713378 1.485893 2.858341 5.372444
2025-01-05 0.041030 0.120996 0.302589 0.705991 1.520668 3.006370 5.789714
2025-01-12 0.034688 0.109223 0.286799 0.696621 1.550588 3.148136 6.206772
2025-01-19 0.029554 0.099261 0.273288 0.689972 1.584606 3.299154 6.649719
2025-01-26 0.026383 0.093891 0.269575 0.704054 1.661531 3.535290 7.262102
2025-02-02 0.023294 0.087946 0.263415 0.711651 1.725374 3.750589 7.849016
2025-02-09 0.020405 0.081810 0.255672 0.714402 1.778820 3.948955 8.415766
2025-02-16 0.018242 0.077410 0.251701 0.725553 1.851312 4.189539 9.077177
2025-02-23 0.016032 0.072198 0.244581 0.727913 1.904181 4.393793 9.679633
2025-03-02 0.013242 0.063986 0.227399 0.702256 1.890373 4.459852 10.012914
2025-03-09 0.012283 0.062407 0.229406 0.726986 1.996178 4.782198 10.877218
2025-03-16 0.011219 0.060088 0.228757 0.744467 2.086159 5.076464 11.700183